The
I will come to the Lebanon tragedy later but let me
start with Iraq
first.
As the trial of Saddam Hussein inches to an end I think the biggest
mistake that can be made is condemning him to death, making a victim out of a
tyrant. I never had any appreciation
for the way Hussein ruled Iraq , crushing all opposition
and forcing his country to several useless wars. Whilst I always considered the
US invasion of
Iraq as a grave mistake and a
destabilizing force for the whole Middle
East peace process, I felt no compunction about the removal of
Hussein.
Now I do. Never a day goes
by without news that several tens, sometimes hundreds, have been killed through
sectarian violence between the various factions of the Iraqi society. Innocent people are being killed everyday
without as much as a whimper by the international community who seem to argue
that it is okay for the Iraqis to kill themselves as long as they do not kill
foreign forces who destabilized the country and are trying to make eggs out of
an omelette.
Consequently I am starting to give Saddam the benefit of the doubt
that only through his hard-fisted leadership one could keep together a disparate
society that was artificially put together by past colonisers to suit their interest, without any regard to the
grave risk of such artificiality eventually leading to a civil war. I can even start understanding Saddam’s need
to keep the country at a constant state of war with an external agent to prevent
it from fall into a war within itself.
May be Saddam had to make a choice of the lesser evil. Just as Communism
disintegrated on its own without outside aggression, tyranny in
Iraq needed
a long time spanning several generations to smoothen its conversion into a
democracy. Forcing a democracy through
battle tanks clearly does not work.
The invasion of Iraq has only favoured the country that really poses a threat to western
interests i.e.
Iran . Iran has now indirect control over the
Shiite majority which has effective power in Iraq and this at a time when the US
military capabilities is fully stretched making the threat of military action
against Iran sound hollow.
The escalating resources and belligerence of Hezbollah in southern
Lebanon simultaneously with the
growing influence of Iran over
Iraq is no accident.
The distaste of Iraqi youth for what they regard as the occupation of
their homeland provides a fertile ground for recruitment of ‘freedom fighters’
to join Hezbollah in the crusade for the liberation of
Palestine.
With America practically abandoning its indispensable role for a
diplomatic two-state solution for the problem of Palestine, Israel feels
threatened by the growing role of Iran whose President has vowed to wipe off
Israel from the Middle East map.
For as long as America was considered as a
genuine peace broker, even if tilting on the Israeli side, there was hope for a
diplomatic breakthrough. However since
the Iraqi invasion America has lost its influence and is no longer considered as
a suitable broker for a Middle East solution, so much so that the United
Nations requested both the US and UK to
adopt a low profile in the search for a cease-fire to the Lebanon
conflict.
The failure of the EU is that it failed to fill the diplomatic gap
created by America ’s involvement in
Iraq , for a diplomatic
solution for Palestine . And where diplomacy fails belligerence and
war succeeds.
With a growing threat on its northern border
Israel argued that conflict was
inevitable and that now was better than later as time was only working to
increase the threat.
Israel will no doubt succeed
militarily is pushing Hezbollah a few kilometres away from its international border and will
re-occupy southern Lebanon until a UN sponsored
military force can take control of the buffer zone. But if such a buffer zone force has to be
put together during a crisis, why was it not put together through diplomacy
across all Israeli borders in order to give it a sense of security without
having to resort to armed conflict?
In the process hundreds of thousands of innocent people are
suffering. As
Israel wins back territory it
loses friends and sympathy and for every terrorist they kill, they give birth to
hundred freedom fighters.
To get a glimpse of the tragedy innocent Lebanese are going
through, here
is an extract that a business friend of mine in
Lebanon sent
me:
“I decided to drive around to get a first hand look on the refugees
fleeing the South of Lebanon & the Southern
Suburb of Beirut. I spent most of the day driving refugees out of
Beirut to safe villages in the
Christian areas (north east of Beirut ). As of July 17 I have
adopted a refugee centre housing 45 families (i.e 243
persons mostly mothers and children). This centre is public garden. On July 18 I have added to my commitment
another close by centre housing 152 families (i.e 770
persons mostly mothers and children). This centre is the Faculty of Law of the
Lebanese
University . Realizing that I will
not be able to feed a thousand persons a day for long, I have drafted a plan
with our staff and friends to support the relief operation on a sustainable
manner while engaging the refugees as well.
I have been averaging 4 hours of sleep a day. (even this is not sound asleep. Israeli war planes manage to
interrupt our sleep regularly.)”
America’s invasion of Iraq is the root cause of the Middle East
turmoil and there can no scale - down in armed conflict in the region before the
White House gets occupied by a team that truly believes that American Supremacy
has to flow through its diplomacy, with military solution being used as a very
last resource and only with specific UN mandate.
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