Monday, 23 September 2013

Fitch downgrade just a catch up to Moody's and S&P

Fitch last week downgraded Malta sovereign rating from A+ to A.

The PN is trying to fault government for this downgrade.  That's a joke.

Firstly there is pretty little any government can do in the first six months in so far as ratings are concerned for which it should seek credit or suffer fault.    A rating event does not happen overnight.  It reflects past events often with a considerable time lag.

Secondly Fitch's decison is a partial catch up to decisons taken by Moody's and S & P under previous government.

An A rating by Fitch is equivalent to an A rating by S & P and A2 by Moody's.   But Moody's downgraded Malta's rating to A3 ( one notch lower than  A2) as far back as 13.02.2012.   S & P downgraded Malta to BBB+ two grades below A) since 16.01.2013.

So Fitch's downgrade to A is still one grade above Moodys' and two grade above S&P and both Moody's and S & P ratings were earned under a PN government.

So what are the PN talking about?

For those who want to understand the comparative table of ratings :

Credit rating tier

 
Moody'sS&PFitchDBRSDescriptions
Long-termShort-termLong-termShort-termLong-termShort-termLong-termShort-term 
AaaP-1AAAA-1+AAAF1+AAAR-1HPrimeInvestment
grade
Aa1AA+AA+AA(high)High
grade
Aa2AAAAAAR-1M
Aa3AA-AA-AA(low)
A1A+A-1A+F1A(high)R-1LUpper medium
grade
A2AAA
A3P-2A-A-2A-F2A(low)
Baa1BBB+BBB+BBB(high)R-2HLower
medium
grade
Baa2P-3BBBA-3BBBF3BBBR-2M
Baa3BBB-BBB-BBB(low)R-2L, R-3
Ba1Not primeBB+BBB+BBB(high)R-4Non-investment
grade
speculative
High
yield
(junk)
Ba2BBBBBB
Ba3BB-BB-BB(low)
B1B+B+B(high)Highly
speculative
B2BBBR-5
B3B-B-B(low)
Caa1CCC+CCCCCCCC(high)Substantial
risks
Caa2CCCCCC
Caa3CCC-CCC(low)
CaCCCC(high)Extremely
speculative
CC
CC(low)
CC(high)
C
C(low)
CD/DDD/DDIn default
DD
D




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