Sunday 9 July 2006

The Blues are a Safe Bet

9th July 2006
The Malta Independent on Sunday


If there is a safe bet around it is that tonight the blues will win the World Cup. What remains to be seen is whether it will be Gli Azzurri or Les Bleus.

Your guess is probably as good as mine. While my heart tells me that the Azzurri should be home and dry following their stellar performance in the semi-finals against Germany, my head tells me that the way they achieved that win by scoring two goals in the last minutes of extra time, when all seemed destined for the penalty shoot out, means the Italians have probably peaked a step prematurely.

The French on the other hand had a much quieter passage through the semi-finals, where they rode on the back of a generous penalty award to coast home without undue risks, even though the Portuguese actually gave as much as they took.

An undeniably clear statistic emerging from this tournament is that those teams, which went through in extra time or on penalties, were defeated in the following round. It happened to
Argentina, which went to extra time to knock out Mexico in the last sixteen round and were knocked out by Germany in the quarterfinals. The Germans were knocked out in the semi-finals after they had to go through on penalties against Argentina in the quarters. Portugal beat England on penalties in the quarterfinals but was knocked out in the semi-finals by the French.

The French reached the finals without having the half hour added time as they beat
Spain, Brazil and Portugal in the knock out rounds during the normal 90-minute game. This is ominous for the Azzurri who had to toil an extra 30 minutes against the Germans in the semis. And what 30 minutes they were! It is semi-tragic that if the statistical trend persists, their greatest time achievement so far could be their downfall in the last match when it really matters. Did this not happen already in 1970 when the Italians went through a memorable semi-final with extra-time 4-3 against Germany only to be outplayed by Brazil in the final, who were clearly fresher and had more oxygen in the second half to beat the Italians 4 -1 after a score-line of 1-1 at half time.

There is still a ray of hope for the Azzurri. This time they had an extra day of rest compared to the French. Will this be enough to neutralise the disadvantage of having played an extra 30 minutes? I certainly hope so.

The blues however are no safe bet on
Malta’s political scene. Not just because they have been losing all their friendly matches (local and EP elections) but because they are having to make good for their past budgetary excesses just when the consumer is already demoralised by the fuel surcharge.

These are handicaps enough on their own but the local blues seem bent to tilt even steeper their uphill climb for the general election. The changes to the development boundaries are a high stakes game that is bound to earn government many more enemies than friends.

Government obsession to proceed with such a project against very wide public opinion gives me the distinct impression, which probably is wrong and unreal, that the government’s objective in conducting this exercise is to please its friends before its time runs out. But if this is not so then the alternative is that the government is politically naïve. This is equally hard to accept.

Arguments that this is being done for social reasons do not impress and indicate that the government is searching high and low for excuses to justify what cannot be justified. Equally laughable is the argument that this is done to honour an electoral pledge in the 1998 manifesto. Of all electoral pledges that have been allowed to fall by the wayside without the slightest compunction, is this the one that the Blues’ heart is bleeding for? Why not for example the family law to provide for a fair legislative framework for families living out of wedlock?

The best piece of advice I can give on the issue is that once the government is in a hole it should stop digging. Digging will only push it deeper into the hole when it should use its energy to get out of it.

The only logical way forward is to abandon the project and re-propose it in due time within a framework that carries sufficient checks and balances to convince the majority that all is being done for a good cause.

I still need to be convinced.

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